Summary: The Presidential Electability Index (PEI) developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics predicted more than a year ahead of the 2016 presidential election that Donald Trump would win.

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Summary: The Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 (prior to Super Tuesday), is at variance with every conventional election-outcome forecasting model (on Election Day 2016). The Personal Electability Index projected in August 2015 that Donald Trump would win the Republican primary and go on to beat either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders in the 2016 presidential election. As polls opened on November 8, 2016, conventional election-outcome forecasting models predicted a comfortable Clinton victory in the Electoral College.

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Summary: Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., director of the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, projects Donald Trump will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election, employing the Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 before Super Tuesday.

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Summary: Back in 2009, when Michele Bachmann was focused on reelection to Congress in Minnesota’s libertarian-leaning 6th District, she heavily courted Rep. Ron Paul. But now that she’s focused on her national ambitions, she’s kicked Dr. Paul to the curb and embraced Gov. Romney who, in her own words, “can’t beat Obama” and is “the only governor in the history of the United States to put into place socialized medicine.”

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Summary: In one of the most intriguing subplots of the 2012 GOP nominating contest, Michele Bachmann and Tim Pawlenty have begun trading jabs in Iowa. … One-year retrospective: One year ago today, on July 28, 2010, Aubrey Immelman reported that the federal government delivered a stinging blow against The People, granting an injunction against key provisions of Arizona’s new immigration law, enacted to counter the federal government’s dereliction of duty in securing the border and enforcing the law of the land.

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