Summary: The atypical political environment in which the 2020 U.S. presidential election is being conducted (e.g., global pandemic, mail-in ballots) violates the assumptions of the Personal Electability Index (PEI), meaning that it cannot reliably project the winner of the presidential election.
Summary: Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., director of the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, projects Donald Trump will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election, employing the Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 before Super Tuesday.