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Jun 26th, 2016


Jun 23rd, 2016



Jun 12th, 2016

Islamic State linked to worst mass shooting in U.S. history


Omar Mir Seddique Mateen (MySpace)

Orlando-victims_HRC
On June 17, the Human Rights Campaign installed images of all 49 victims of the Orlando terrorist attack in its front windows, creating an 8-story composite image that carries the message “We Are Orlando.”

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Related reports on this site

Al-Qaida’s Low-Intensity / High-Frequency Strategy (Oct. 30, 2010)

Heartbreak at Ft. Hood (Nov. 5, 2009)

Columbine: The Real Story (March 14, 2009)



ST. JOHN’S UNIVERSITY MEN’S BASKETBALL TEAM

2016_ SJU-European-tour_Team-USA

2016 EUROPEAN TOUR ITINERARY

DAY 1 (May 13) — MINNEAPOLIS-ST. PAUL / ZURICH, SWITZERLAND

Depart Minneapolis-St. Paul International Airport for Zurich, Switzerland via Reykjavik, Iceland

2016-05-13_Departure-MSP
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DAY 2 (May 14) — ARRIVE ZURICH

2016-05-14_Arrival-Zurich
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Upon arrival, transfer by motor coach to Zurich
Orientation tour of Zurich and surrounding area
Check-in at Ramada Hotel Zurich City

2016-05-14_Zurich_Peterson-Immelman
Jordan Peterson and Tim Immelman in Zurich

DAY 3 (May 15) — LUCERNE / LUGANO / COMO AREA

Morning excursion to Lucerne

2016-05-15_SJU-team_Lucerne
Click on image for larger view

2016-05-15_Lucerne_Immelman-Weiss 2016-05-15_Lucerne_Immelman-Sexe
Tim Immelman (left) with Tyler Weiss and Conrad Sexe in Lucerne

Afternoon excursion to Lugano and Lake Como on Switzerland-Italy border

2016-05-15_Lugano_Sexe-Peterson-Immelman
Conrad Sexe, Tim Immelman, and Tyler Weiss in Lugano

Check-in at Hotel Leonardo da Vinci

DAY 4 (May 16) — COMO, ITALY / LUGANO, SWITZERLAND

Guided walking tour of Lake Como

Transfer to Cadempino near Lugano

LOGO_CMYK_ok

Game 1: St. John’s University vs SAM Basket Massagno

2016_Team_SAM-Basket-Massagno-U23
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SAM Basket Massagno Facebook

2016-05-16_SAMBasketMassagno-SJU
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SAM Basket Massagno 70, St. John’s, 62

2016-05-17_Erba-Bigs
Postgame in Erba: Big men Tim Immelman, Conrad Sexe, Jordan Peterson, Mitch Wollin, Ben Hartmann, and Tyler Weiss with point guard Alex Schmitt (front center)

DAY 5 (May 17) — MILAN, ITALY

Guided tour of Milan

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Conrad Sexe and Tim Immelman at the Duomo di Milano, a Gothic-Renaissance marble cathedral. (Click on image for larger view)

2016_APL-SJU
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Game 2: St. John’s University vs Associazione Pallacanestro Lissone

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APL Facebook

2016-05-17_APLCAPLissone-SJU
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Galvi Lissone–C Gold 60, St. John’s, 54

DAY 6 (May 18) — FUSSEN / GARMISCH / MUNICH, GERMANY

Transfer by motor coach to Munich
Check-in at Hotel Angelo

DAY 7 (May 19) — MUNICH

2016-05-19_Munich_Olympic-Park
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Guided tour of Munich, including Olympic Park, site of the 1972 Olympic Games

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Game 3: St. John’s University vs MTSV Schwabing

MTSV Schwabing Facebook

St. John’s 68, MTSV Schwabing 63

DAY 8 (May 20) — DACHAU / MUNICH

Excursion to Dachau

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DAY 9 (May 21) — MUNICH / USA

Depart Munich International Airport for return flight to the United States

2016-05-21_Departure-Munich 2016-05-21_Arrival-Minneapolis
Departure from Munich and arrival at Minneapolis over Lake Calhoun and Lake of the Isles

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Other basketball reports on this site

Tim Immelman — 2012-13 Basketball Photo Gallery (Oct. 8, 2013)

Tim Immelman — 2011-12 Basketball Photo Gallery (April 22, 2012)

http://www.immelman.us/wp-content/uploads/2011/12/2012-02-24_Monticello-4-Dana-Fischer.jpg

Matt Immelman — 2014-15 Basketball Photo Gallery (Feb. 28, 2015)



Cruz-Trump-Indiana_Redstate
According to a poll by the Mike Downs Center for Indiana Politics on Friday, April 29, 2016, Ted Cruz leads Donald Trump 45 percent to 29 percent among registered voters. (Redstate.com)

Tuesday’s Republican primary in Indiana is a must-win for Ted Cruz if he is to have any prospect of preventing Donald Trump from reaching the 1,237 delegates required to secure the Republican nomination for president on the first ballot at the Republican National Convention.

The Personal Electability Index (PEI), developed by Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics (USPP), projects that Trump will edge Cruz in the Indiana Republican primary.

The PEI has accurately predicted, before Super Tuesday, the outcome of every presidential election since 1996. The heuristic model employs candidate personality traits, as publicly perceived, to predict which contender will resonate most favorably with independent and unaffiliated voters that base their voting choice primarily on candidates’ personal qualities as publicly displayed rather than on party-political affiliation or allegiance.

The PEI model’s predictive utility in presidential general elections derives from the practically even division of the nation into reliably Republican and Democratic voting blocks, essentially yielding the balance of power to politically independent and unaffiliated voters comprising roughly one-third of the electorate.

Although the PEI is not designed to predict primary election outcomes it appears to have some practical utility in predicting the results of open primaries, where political affiliation is not a requirement for voting in a partisan ballot.

Indiana effectively (i.e., with some unenforceable restrictions) has an open primary, which favors Trump over Cruz (whose appeal is more ideological and more restricted to conservative Republican base voters).

Research on the psychology of politics conducted at the USPP reveals that voters respond favorably to candidates that are outgoing (extraverted), self-confident (productively narcissistic), and dominant; and negatively to candidates that are introverted and overly conscientious.

Based on those criteria, the Republican contenders on Indiana’s primary ballot rank as follows:

  1. Donald Trump (PEI = 62; 45 corrected score)
  2. Ted Cruz (PEI = 25)
  3. John Kasich (PEI = 14)

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Detailed Personal Electability Index scores

Donald Trump: PEI = 45 (dysfunctionality adjusted)

Trump poster (NCUR)
Click on image for larger view

Scale:   1A    1B    2    3    4    5A    5B    6    7    8
Score:  15     11  15  15    1      0      6     2    1     0

Scale: 1A = 15; 2 = 15; 3 =15; 6 = 2; 8 = 0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 15] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 15] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 15] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (2 – 2) = 0] = 45 – 0 = 45

Ted Cruz: PEI = 25

Ted Cruz poster 2015-09
Click on image for larger view

Scale:   1A    1B    2    3    4    5A    5B    6    7    8
Score:  13      6     8    4    0      0      4     2    0    0

Scale: 1A = 13; 2 = 8; 3 = 4; 6 = 2; 8 = 0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 4] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 8] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 13] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (2 - 2) = 0] = 25 – 0 = 25

John Kasich: PEI = 14

Poster - John Kasich 2016
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Scale:   1A    1B    2    3    4    5A    5B    6    7    8
Score:    7      3     4    3    5       1      3     2    0    0

Scale: 1A = 7; 2 = 4; 3 = 3; 6 = 2; 8 = 0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 3] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 4] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 7] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (2 - 2) = 0] = 14 – 0 = 14

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May 3, 2016 Update

Cruz: Trump ‘is a pathological liar’


Video: Republican presidential candidate Sen. Ted Cruz had harsh words for rival Donald Trump ahead of the Indiana primary. (Duration: 4:28)

By David Wright and Julia Manchester
http://zignallabs.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/cnn-politics-logo.png
May 3, 2016

Ted Cruz on Tuesday unloaded on Donald Trump, accusing him during a news conference of being a “pathological liar,” “utterly amoral,” “a narcissist at a level I don’t think this country’s ever seen” and “a serial philanderer.”

“He is proud of being a serial philanderer … he describes his own battles with venereal diseases as his own personal Vietnam,” Cruz said, citing a decades-old Trump appearance on “The Howard Stern Show.”

The Texas senator’s dramatic and deeply personal attack on Trump comes as polls indicate Trump is poised to claim victory in Cruz’s must-win state of Indiana and follow accusations the front-runner made about Cruz’s father.

The epic takedown of his opponent on an all-important voting day was extraordinary even by the standards of the 2016 campaign.

“This man is a pathological liar, he doesn’t know the difference between truth and lies … in a pattern that is straight out of a psychology textbook, he accuses everyone of lying,” Cruz said as Indiana voters headed to cast their ballots.

“Whatever lie he’s telling, at that minute he believes it … the man is utterly immoral,” Cruz told reporters. “Donald is a bully … bullies don’t come from strength they come from weakness.”

Earlier Tuesday, Trump had criticized Rafael Cruz, calling him “disgraceful” after he urged evangelical voters in Indiana to reject his son’s rival.

Trump also referenced a report from the tabloid National Enquirer — without naming the publication — which alleged that it had identified Rafael Cruz in a photo with Lee Harvey Oswald months prior to the JFK assassination. CNN has not independently confirmed that report. …

Full report

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May 4, 2016 Update

Indiana-GOP-primary-results

Graphic: The New York Times

Ted Cruz Suspends 2016 Presidential Campaign After Indiana Loss

John Kasich Suspends 2016 Presidential Campaign

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Related reports on this site

Trump-Cruz-Kasich_Greg-Nash_via-The-Hill

The Personality Profile of 2016 Republican Presidential Candidate Donald Trump

The Personality Profile of 2016 Republican Presidential Candidate Ted Cruz

The Personality Profile of 2016 Republican Presidential Candidate John Kasich

Projecting the Winner of the 2016 Presidential Election: The Personal Electability Index



A psychological analysis of Vermont senator Bernie Sanders — a contender for the Democratic nomination in the 2016 presidential election — by Catherine Lundstrom, Hanae Nakamoto, Jacob Wankel, Christian Grande, Joe Trenzeluk, Atarah Pinder, and Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, revealed that Sanders’s primary personality patterns are Dominant/controlling and Contentious/resolute, with secondary Ambitious/confident features. In summary, Sanders’s personality composite can be characterized as a deliberative nonconformist. (Note: This is a pilot study with a lower confidence level than comparable studies of Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, and Ted Cruz.)

Poster - Bernie Sanders 2016
Click on image for larger view

Analysis

Preliminary analysis of Bernie Sanders’s psychological profile — based on the finding of substantial social dominance (MIDC scale 1A = 13), augmented by considerable contentiousness (MIDC scale 5B = 8) and bolstered by a healthy dose of self-confidence, or adaptive narcissism (MIDC scale 2 = 6) — suggests that Sanders will be tenacious in his quest for the Democratic nomination for president.

The big takeaway from the profile is the inference that Sanders will resist calls to drop out of the race and rally his supporters behind front-runner Hillary Clinton, even after it becomes clear that he has no path to winning the required number of delegates for the nomination. In short, it seems likely that Sanders, with his resolute, oppositional tendency will hound Clinton all the way to the Democratic National Convention with dogged determination.

Update

Sanders: ‘The convention will be a contested contest’ (Rebecca Savransky, The Hill, May 1, 2016) — Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders on Sunday said there will be a “contested contest.” In a news conference from Washington, D.C., on Sunday, the Vermont senator urged superdelegates from states where he has won the majority of the vote to reconsider their support. … “We intend to fight for every vote in front of us and for every delegate remaining,” he said. … Full report

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Note: Personal Electability Index (favorability) score

Bernie Sanders scores relatively low on the Millon Inventory of Diagnostic Criteria-based Personal Electability Index, which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996.

Following are the PEI calculations for Bernie Sanders:

Bernie Sanders: PEI = 18

Scale:  1A   1B   2   3   4   5A   5B   6   7   8
Score: 13     5    6   3   5     0      8    3   0   4

Scale: 1A = 13; 2 = 6; 3 = 3; 6 = 3; 8 = 4

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 3] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 6] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 13] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 4] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (4 - 4) = 0] = 22 – 4 = 18

Following are the PEI calculations for Sanders’s rivals:

John Kasich: PEI = 14

Scale:  1A   1B   2   3   4   5A   5B   6   7   8
Score:  7      3    4   3   5     1      3    2   0   0

Scale: 1A = 7; 2 = 4; 3 = 3; 6 = 2; 8 = 0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 3] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 4] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 7] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (2 - 2) = 0] = 14 – 0 = 14

Ted Cruz: PEI = 25

Scale:  1A   1B   2   3   4   5A   5B   6   7   8
Score: 13     6    8   4   0    0      4    2   0   0

Scale: 1A = 13; 2 = 8; 3 = 4; 6 = 2; 8 = 0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 4] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 8] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 13] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (2 - 2) = 0] = 25 – 0 = 25

Hillary Clinton: PEI = 29 (dysfunctionality adjusted)

Scale:  1A   1B   2   3   4   5A   5B   6   7   8
Score: 15     2  15   1   0     0      0    6   0  0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 1] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 15] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 15] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (6 - 4)  = 2] = 31 – 2 = 29

Donald Trump: PEI = 45 (dysfunctionality adjusted)

Scale:  1A   1B   2   3   4   5A   5B   6   7   8
Score: 19   11  24 19  1     0      6    2   1   0

Scale: 1A = 19; 2 = 24; 3 =19; 6 = 2; 8 = 0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 15] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 15] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 15] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (2 – 2) = 0] = 45 – 0 = 45

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4/22/2016 Update

Catherine Lundstrom (left) and Christian Grande (right) presented “The Political Personality of 2016 Presidential Contender Bernie Sanders” (by Catherine Lundstrom, Hanae Nakamoto, Jacob Wankel, Christian Grande, Joe Trenzeluk, and Atarah Pinder) at Scholarship and Creativity Day, College of St. Benedict and St. John’s University, April 21, 2016.

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Related reports on this site

Projecting the Winner of the 2016 Presidential Election: The Personal Electability Index (Feb. 29, 2016)

Donald-Trump_Hillary-Clinton_Getty-Images
Getty Images

The Personality Profile of 2016 Democratic Presidential Candidate Hillary Clinton (March 11, 2015)

Clinton poster
Click on image for larger view



A psychological analysis of Ohio governor John Kasich — a contender for the Republican nomination in the 2016 presidential election — by Timothy Immelman, Katherine Jennissen, Brianna Kupser, Jeremy Reller, Samantha Womeldorf, Joe Trenzeluk, and Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, revealed that Kasich’s primary personality patterns are Dominant/asserting and Accommodating/cooperative, with secondary Ambitious/confident and Outgoing/congenial features. In summary, Kasich’s personality composite can be characterized as a forceful mediator. (Note: This is a pilot study with a lower confidence level than comparable studies of Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, and Hillary Clinton.)

Poster - John Kasich 2016
Click on image for larger view

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Note: Personal Electability Index (favorability) score

John Kasich scores relatively low on the Millon Inventory of Diagnostic Criteria-based Personal Electability Index, which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996.

Following are the PEI calculations for John Kasich:

John Kasich: PEI = 14

Scale:  1A   1B   2   3   4   5A   5B   6   7   8
Score:  7      3    4   3   5     1      3    2   0   0

Scale: 1A = 7; 2 = 4; 3 = 3; 6 = 2; 8 = 0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 3] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 4] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 7] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (2 - 2) = 0] = 14 – 0 = 14

Following are the PEI calculations for Kasich’s rivals:

Bernie Sanders: PEI = 18

Scale:  1A   1B   2   3   4   5A   5B   6   7   8
Score: 13     5    6   3   5     0      8    3   0   4

Scale: 1A = 13; 2 = 6; 3 = 3; 6 = 3; 8 = 4

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 3] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 6] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 13] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 4] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (4 - 4) = 0] = 22 – 4 = 18

Ted Cruz: PEI = 25

Scale:  1A   1B   2   3   4   5A   5B   6   7   8
Score: 13     6    8   4   0    0      4    2   0   0

Scale: 1A = 13; 2 = 8; 3 = 4; 6 = 2; 8 = 0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 4] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 8] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 13] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (2 - 2) = 0] = 25 – 0 = 25

Hillary Clinton: PEI = 29 (dysfunctionality adjusted)

Scale:  1A   1B   2   3   4   5A   5B   6   7   8
Score: 15     2  15   1   0     0      0    6   0  0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 1] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 15] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 15] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (6 - 4)  = 2] = 31 – 2 = 29

Donald Trump: PEI = 45 (dysfunctionality adjusted)

Scale:  1A   1B   2   3   4   5A   5B   6   7   8
Score: 19   11  24 19  1     0      6    2   1   0

Scale: 1A = 19; 2 = 24; 3 =19; 6 = 2; 8 = 0

[Extraversion (scale 3) = 15] + [Narcissism (scale 2) = 15] + [Dominance (scale 1) = 15] – [Introversion (scale 8) = 0] – [Conscientiousness (scale 6) = (2 – 2) = 0] = 45 – 0 = 45

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4/22/2016 Update

2016-S&CD_Immelman&Immelman
Research director Aubrey Immelman (left) with Tim Immelman (right), who presented “The Political Personality of 2016 Presidential Contender John Kasich” (by Timothy Immelman, Katherine Jennissen, Brianna Kupser, Jeremy Reller, Samantha Womeldorf, and Joe Trenzeluk) at Scholarship and Creativity Day, College of St. Benedict and St. John’s University, April 21, 2016. (Click photo for full-size image)

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Related reports on this site

Projecting the Winner of the 2016 Presidential Election: The Personal Electability Index (Feb. 29, 2016)

Donald-Trump_Hillary-Clinton_Getty-Images
Getty Images

The Personality Profile of 2016 Republican Presidential Candidate Ted Cruz (Sept. 6, 2015)

Ted Cruz poster 2015-09
Click on image for larger view

The Personality Profile of 2016 Republican Presidential Candidate Donald Trump (Aug. 9, 2015)

Trump poster (July 2015)
Click on image for larger view

Comparative Psychological Profiles of the GOP Field (Aug. 6, 2015)

Fox News candidates on stage

Republican Presidential Candidate Profiles, Polling, and Debates
(May 31, 2015)



Republican presidential contenders (from left to right and top to bottom) Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Carly Fiorina, Mike Huckabee, George Pataki, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, and Rick Santorum (Photo credits: Gage Skidmore, officeholder official portraits / Wikipedia)



As reported by CNN Politics: Nightcap on March 23, 2016:

First it was Lindsey Graham. Then Mitt Romney. Now, Jeb Bush is getting on the Ted Cruz train. Despite anger among Senate Republicans over his past tactics, some members of the GOP establishment are coming around to the Texas senator’s candidacy — out of pragmatism if not enthusiasm.

The big thought: Cruz might struggle in a general election, but at least he’s reliably conservative and, win or lose, wouldn’t doom the party’s chances of holding the House and Senate and undercut many of its deeply held policy objectives. …

The next big contest in the Republican race is April 5 in Wisconsin. Gov. Scott Walker — who still maintains influence in his home state despite a short-lived presidential bid — hinted Wednesday morning in a radio interview on WTMJ that he could endorse Ted Cruz.

Sidebar » Trump responds to flurry of Cruz endorsements

Following is a compilation of the conga-line of high-profile Republican establishment figures jumping on the Cruz bandwagon.

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Jeb Bush Backs Ted Cruz for President


Fox News video added — Not part of CNN report

By Mark Preston and Theodore Schleifer
http://zignallabs.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/cnn-politics-logo.png
March 23, 2016

Jeb Bush [link added] endorsed Ted Cruz on Wednesday morning, calling his former rival for the Republican presidential nomination a “principled conservative” and urging fellow Republicans to reject Donald Trump as the next GOP nominee.

“Ted is a consistent, principled conservative who has demonstrated the ability to appeal to voters and win primary contests,” Bush said in a statement provided to CNN. “Washington is broken, and the only way Republicans can hope to win back the White House and put our nation on a better path is to support a nominee who can articulate how conservative policies will help people rise up and reach their full potential.”

Bush’s endorsement of the Texas senator comes one month after he ended his own bid for the GOP presidential nomination — a campaign that failed to gain support in the shadow of Trump’s oversized personality and a fractured field that, at one time, had 17 Republican candidates actively pursuing the White House. During the campaign, Bush did not cloak his contempt for Trump, who he described as a “bully” and “not a conservative.”

On Wednesday, Bush again emphasized his disapproval of Trump, the GOP front-runner, and warned that if the New York businessman secures the Republican nomination, Democrats will win the White House in November.

“For the sake of our party and country, we must move to overcome the divisiveness and vulgarity Donald Trump has brought into the political arena, or we will certainly lose our chance to defeat the Democratic nominee and reverse President Obama’s failed policies,” Bush said in the statement.

Trump responded Wednesday afternoon, using Twitter to dismiss the endorsement to dismiss the Bush endorsement.

“I think having Jeb’s endorsement hurts Lyin’ Ted. Jeb spent more than $150,000,000 and got nothing. I spent a fraction of that and am first,” Trump tweeted. …

Read the full report at CNN

Related » Why Donald Trump Beats Jeb Bush: The Personal Electability Index

Bush poster (July 2015)
Click on image for larger view

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Mitt Romney Just Basically Endorsed Ted Cruz

By Aaron Blake
The Fix

March 18, 2016

Mitt Romney [link added] just endorsed Ted Cruz for president of the United States, over Donald Trump [link added] and John Kasich [link added].

No, Romney [link added] didn’t put it in so many words. The “e-word” was not uttered in his brief Friday-afternoon Facebook post, and Romney doesn’t say he wants Cruz to be president. But the practical effect is the same.

Here’s the full post:

This week, in the Utah nominating caucus, I will vote for Senator Ted Cruz.

Today, there is a contest between Trumpism and Republicanism. Through the calculated statements of its leader, Trumpism has become associated with racism, misogyny, bigotry, xenophobia, vulgarity and, most recently, threats and violence. I am repulsed by each and every one of these.

The only path that remains to nominate a Republican rather than Mr. Trump is to have an open convention. At this stage, the only way we can reach an open convention is for Senator Cruz to be successful in as many of the remaining nominating elections as possible.

I like Governor John Kasich. I have campaigned with him. He has a solid record as governor. I would have voted for him in Ohio. But a vote for Governor Kasich in future contests makes it extremely likely that Trumpism would prevail.

I will vote for Senator Cruz and I encourage others to do so as well, so that we can have an open convention and nominate a Republican.

So the logic here is simple: Vote for Cruz because he’s the only guy who can actually steal delegates from Trump and prevent him from winning before the Republican National Convention. At which point, who knows? Romney only says that the GOP would “nominate a Republican” — not saying whether that Republican is Cruz.

But here’s what’s amazing about all of this: Romney [link added] is just the latest big-name, establishment Republican to come out in support of Cruz — to one degree or another — in recent days. Lindsey Graham also did it. Even Sen. Marco Rubio [link added] of Florida seemed to suggest Cruz is the best option, saying he’s the “only conservative left.”

These are not full-throated endorsements. These guys would clearly like to have someone more in the mold of Romney or Rubio as the Republican presidential nominee in 2016.

Still, the fact that they are lining up behind Cruz is remarkable. … Cruz is, after all, the guy who is reputed to be despised by the vast majority of his Senate colleagues — Republican and Democrat. …

It’s hard to overstate how universally unloved Cruz is inside the Republican establishment. And yet, here we are, with decidedly establishment Republicans lining up in his corner. …

Read the full report at The Fix

Related » Why Mitt Romney Won’t Win


Click on image for larger view

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Watch Lindsey Graham Go from Hating to Stumping for Ted Cruz


MSNBC video added — Not part of CNN report
Graham: The GOP will probably lose in 2016 (March 24, 2016) — Former 2016 Republican candidate Lindsey Graham joins Morning Joe to discuss why he is now supporting Ted Cruz after coming out strongly against him on the campaign trail, why he thinks the GOP will likely lose in 2016, and why Kasich is the best nominee but has ‘no chance.’ (Duration 10:12)

By Chris Moody
http://zignallabs.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/cnn-politics-logo.png
March 18, 2016

It’s that strange time again in American politics when politicians support candidates they have repeatedly said they can’t stand.

For months, South Carolina Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham has been warning the nation about Texas Sen. Ted Cruz. But on Thursday, Graham told CNN that not only is he supporting Cruz, he’s fundraising for him. Graham pointed to Donald Trump’s rise as the reason, explaining that Cruz might be the only one to stop him.

“I think he’s the best alternative to beat Donald Trump,” Graham told CNN. “I’m going to help Ted in any way I can.”

It’s a strange position for Graham, who has said all kinds of terrible things about Cruz.

Let’s take a trip down memory lane. …

Read the full report at CNN

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Ex-Rival Fiorina Endorses Cruz, ‘Horrified’ by Trump

By Dana Bash and David Wright
http://zignallabs.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/cnn-politics-logo.png
January 25, 2016

Former Republican presidential candidate and businesswoman Carly Fiorina [link added] endorsed Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at a rally in Miami Wednesday, and confessed to being “horrified” by front-runner Donald Trump. …

The surprise endorsement comes as Cruz tries to consolidate GOP support and challenge front-runner businessman Donald Trump for the Republican nomination. …

Read the full report at CNN

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Rick Perry Endorses Ted Cruz

By Dana Bash and David Wright
http://zignallabs.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/09/cnn-politics-logo.png
January 25, 2016

Former Republican presidential candidate and Texas Gov. Rick Perry is endorsing Ted Cruz for president — and his disdain for Donald Trump appears to have been a driving force.

Perry has come to “hate” Trump more than anything, according to a source familiar with the endorsement process. …

Perry and Cruz have mostly operated in separate orbits in Texas politics. Perry, then governor, endorsed Cruz’s opponent in his bitter 2012 Senate primary, David Dewhurst, and since then Perry has repeatedly spoken out against the perils of electing a first-term senator as president. …

Conservative media star Glenn Beck [link added] also announced he is endorsing Cruz, while a number of Republican establishment figures, including former GOP presidential nominee Bob Dole [link added], have publicly attacked Cruz. …

Read the full report at CNN

Related » The Personality Profile of 2016 Presidential Candidate Rick Perry

Rick Perry poster 2015-04
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Research assistants Amanda Nusbaum and Feiran Chen presented their summer research project on “The Personality Profile of 2012 Republican Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney” at the College of St. Benedict in St. Joseph, Minn. 


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The 2016 Minnesota State High School League boys’ basketball state tournament takes place this week, March 9-12. Games will be played at Minneapolis’ Target Center, Williams Arena at the University of Minnesota, and the Gangelhoff Center at Concordia University in St. Paul.

2016_Basketball-State-Tournament

In Class AAA, Section 5-3A winner Monticello (no. 5 seed) plays Section 7-3A winner Chisago Lakes (no. 4 seed) at the University of Minnesota’s Williams Arena in the quarterfinals at noon on Wednesday, March 9, 2016. The Magic and the Wildcats both play in the Mississippi 8 Conference.

Here’s video of the Monticello Magic playing the Sartell Sabres in the Granite City Holiday Classic on December 29, 2015.

Monticello went on to beat the Rocori Spartans for the Section 5-3A title on March 3, 2016 at St. Cloud State University’s Halenbeck Hall to earn a berth in the Minnesota boys’ basketball state tournament.

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3/10/2016 Update: No. 5 Monticello defeated no. 4 Chisago Lakes 60-55 in the quarterfinals. The Magic play no. 1 seed Minneapolis DeLaSalle at noon Thursday, March 10, in the Class AAA semifinals at the Target Center. The Islanders beat the unseeded Fridley Tigers 65-52 to advance.

3/11/2016 Update: No. 1 Minneapolis DeLaSalle defeated no. 5 Monticello 59-45 in the semifinals. The Islanders play no. 3 seed Fergus Falls at 5 p.m. Saturday, March 12, in the Class AAA final at the Target Center. The Otters beat no. 2 seed Red Wing to advance. The Wingers play the Monticello Magic at 1:30 p.m. Saturday, March 12, in the Class AAA third-place consolation game at Concordia University-St. Paul’s Gangelhoff Center.

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Also in Class AAA, Section 8-3A winner Fergus Falls plays Section 2-3A winner Waseca at the University of Minnesota’s Williams Arena in the quarterfinals at 4 p.m. on Wednesday, March 9, 2016. The Otters play in the Central Lakes Conference and the Bluejays play in the Big South Conference.

Here’s video of the Fergus Falls Otters playing the Sartell Sabres in a Central Lakes Conference matchup on December 1, 2015.

Fergus Falls beat the Alexandria Cardinals 63-60 for the Section 8-3A title on March 3, 2016 at Minnesota State University-Moorhead to earn a berth in the Minnesota boys’ basketball state tournament. Waseca beat the Marshall Tigers 103-100 in a 4-OT thriller March 3 to advance to the state tournament.

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3/10/2016 Update: No. 3 Fergus Falls defeated unseeded Waseca 70-63 in the quarterfinals. The Otters play no. 2 seed Red Wing at 2 p.m. Thursday, March 10, in the Class AAA semifinals at the Target Center. The Wingers beat the unseeded Simley Spartans 73-51 to advance.

3/11/2016 Update: No. 3 Fergus Falls defeated no. 2 Red Wing 58-55 in the semifinals. The Otters play no. 1 seed Minneapolis DeLaSalle at 5 p.m. Saturday, March 12, in the Class AAA final at the Target Center. The Islanders beat no. 5 seed Monticello to advance. The Magic play the Wingers at 1:30 p.m. Saturday, March 12, in the Class AAA third-place consolation game at Concordia University-St. Paul’s Gangelhoff Center.

3/12/2016 Update: No. 1 Minneapolis DeLaSalle defeated no. 3 Fergus Falls in the Class AAA championship game at the Target Center. No. 5 Monticello lost 75-59 to no. 2 Red Wing in the third-place consolation game at Concordia University-St. Paul’s Gangelhoff Center.

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Final Update: March 13, 2016

In Class AAAA, Hopkins beat Lakeville North 64-55 in the state tournament championship game on Sat. March 12 at the Target Center. The Hopkins Royals beat Robbinsdale Cooper 87-82 on Wed. March 2 for the Section 6-4A championship and defeated Section 4-4A winner North St. Paul (74-42) and Section 3-4A winner Apple Valley (84-59) to advance to the Class AAAA final.

To advance to the championship game, Lakeville North beat Osseo 60-56 in the semifinals and Maple Grove 60-47 in the quarterfinals.

Maple Grove advanced to the state tournament by beating Elk River 69-46 March 3 in the Section 8-4A title game at St. Michael-Albertville after defeating Rogers 74-61 Feb. 27 in the semifinals at St. Cloud State University.

Here’s video of the Rogers Royals playing the Sartell Sabres at the Granite City Holiday Classic on Dec. 30, 2015.

The Rogers Royals went on to beat St. Cloud Tech 74-67 on Tues. Feb. 23 in the Section 8-4A quarterfinals at Rogers before losing to Maple Grove in the semifinals and failing to advance to the state tournament.

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Related interest on this site

Tim Immelman — 2012-13 Basketball Photo Gallery


Tim Immelman (#41) scores over Reid Travis (#22) in the Class 3A quarterfinal game Wednesday, March 20, 2013 at the University of Minnesota’s Williams Arena in Minneapolis.

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Matt Immelman (#22) scored 31 points for Minnesota Comets 17U Gray at the Great Plains Alliance AAU Boys’ Basketball Tournament in Sauk Rapids-St. Cloud on June 26, 2015 — shooting 14 of 16 (one 3-pointer) from the field (87.5%) and going 2 for 2 on free throws.



MSNBC “Morning Joe” is the only major television talk show to have predicted Donald Trump’s viability as a presidential candidate from the outset. This video compilation provides a retrospective of hosts Joe Scarborough, Mika Brzezinski, and Willie Geist’s commentary on “Morning Joe,” starting with Trump’s announcement of his bid for the Republican nomination on June 16, 2015.

“Morning Joe” predicted Trump’s chances from Day 1 (March 2, 2016) — Donald Trump announced his bid for the White House on June 16th. Here’s a look-back at Morning Joe’s analysis of Trump’s chances from day one. (Duration 3:26)

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Related interest

Some of the Absolute Worst Predictions of the 2016 Race So Far

By Katherine Krueger
Talking Points Memo
February 10, 2016

Excerpts

Here are just a few of the worst 2016 predictions that pundits and journalists have made so far this election cycle. …

That Trump would flame out early

Conservative pundit Bill Kristol, who has a long, hackish history of being patently wrong, took on new relevance in 2016 as a reliable engine for pumping out fantastically bad predictions about Donald Trump and the Republican race. …

After the first Republican presidential debate in August, Fox News contributor Charles Krauthammer said Trump was clearly “out of place” and his opponents “left him out in the cold.”

The Huffington Post infamously announced plans last summer to cover Trump only in its entertainment vertical, calling the billionaire’s campaign “a sideshow.” They torpedoed the stunt only after months of Trump polling at the front of the GOP pack, but the Republican frontrunner still draws the site’s ire. HuffPost splashed the oversized headline “NH GOES RACIST SEXIST XENOPHOBIC” across its front page after Trump won the New Hampshire primary.

Ezra Klein, the politics wunderkind and founder of Vox Media, is still on board with Trump losing, and compared his candidacy to Howard Dean’s failed 2004 run: “Trump could just … not win.”

Chris Cillizza, editor of The Fix politics blog at The Washington Post, jumped on the Trump-as-gag-candidate bandwagon early. In a February 2015 piece with the already-back-pedaling headline “Donald Trump might be serious about running for president. He’s still irrelevant,” Cillizza declared: “So, let’s assume – gulp – that Trump is serious this time around. Heck, while we’re at it, let’s assume he actually runs. IT. DOESN’T. MATTER.” …

Jeb! will be the GOP nominee. Period.

It’s difficult to know where to start with the legions of pundits who trafficked in the prevailing wisdom that former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush would dominate the GOP field and enjoy smooth sailing en route to the party’s nomination. …

Read more at TPM

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Donald Trump’s Chicago Scam

By Joe Scarborough

March 13, 2016

Excerpts

We are grimly warning the world that following Friday night’s fracas in Chicago, America faces a deepening divide that is tearing away at the fabric of this great land.

What mind-numbing nonsense.

Friday’s freak show was as prepackaged as a rerun of “The Celebrity Apprentice.” The only difference was that Donald Trump delivered his lines on the phone from a hotel room in the Windy City instead of on the set of his made-for-TV boardroom.

It was all a scam.

Has anyone noticed that Trump’s campaign now regularly stages media events designed to eclipse any negative coverage that predictably follows Republican debates? …

As has been the case throughout the entire 2016 cycle, Trump thrives on the political chaos that he helps creates. If it is true that opportunity and chaos are the same word in Mandarin, Trump should stamp that word on a poster and sell it at his next scheduled event. For the Manhattan billionaire, manufactured chaos is just as profitable for his brand as Paris Hilton’s sex tape was for hers. …

Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio’s brief appearances on TV during the rolling cable news coverage only made their own candidacies seem smaller under the glare of Donald’s Big Tent Show. …

Friday night’s farce was a made-for-television event with a handful of Trump supporters squaring off against protesters offended by Trump’s presence on their campus.

Unfortunately for his opponents, most of the protesters who appeared on camera during the night shouted profanities at cameras, intimidated others being interviewed by networks and played directly into the Republican front-runner’s hands. …

Trump wants to be the next president of the United States. But that will never happen unless the man who is about to lock down the GOP nomination drops his reality-show routine, starts working on uniting his party and gets serious about the daunting task before him. …

Joe Scarborough, a former Republican congressman from Florida, hosts the MSNBC show “Morning Joe.”

Full story

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4/9/2016 Update

Defying expectations, Trump heads into primary (April 19, 2016) — Donald Trump heads into the New York primary with a strong lead despite conventional wisdom saying he wouldn’t make it to the convention. (Duration 7:59)

“This time it really is the end of Trump. Really.”
— E. J. Dionne Jr., Washington Post, April 3, 2016

“The voters have spoken. Never Trump.”
— Dana Milbank, Washington Post, April 6, 2016

“Donald Trump, losing ground.”
— New York Times front page, April 13, 2016

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Photo credit: Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images