Current Events and the Psychology of Politics
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Jan 31st, 2017

Summary: The Eugene J. McCarthy Center for Public Policy & Civic Engagement is hosting a panel discussion on “Donald Trump: What Will Happen in the Next Four Years.”


Jan 23rd, 2017

Summary: The leadership style of U.S. president Donald Trump may be summarized as follows: an active-positive presidential character with mobilization as his key leadership asset; a charismatic, nondeliberative leadership style; and a high-dominance, extraverted, influential foreign policy orientation.



Summary: The Presidential Electability Index (PEI) developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics indicates that Donald Trump would defeat Barack Obama in a hypothetical presidential election matchup.



Summary: The Presidential Electability Index (PEI) developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics predicted more than a year ahead of the 2016 presidential election that Donald Trump would win.



Summary: Psychological analysis of Donald Trump’s temperament sheds light on his fitness for office as president. The two personality traits of greatest concern are impulsiveness and responding aggressively to personal slights.



Summary: Psychological analysis of former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani reveals that his primary personality pattern is Dominant/aggressive, with secondary features of the Conscientious/dutiful and Ambitious/confident patterns. The combination of highly dominant and conscientious patterns in Giuliani’s profile suggests an “aggressive enforcer” personality composite.



Summary: A psychological profile of Rudy Giuliani, prospect for Secretary of State in the Trump administration, shows he may not be temperamentally suited for the position. Mitt Romney, though a harsh critic of President-elect Donald Trump during the 2016 presidential campaign, would be a safer choice for Secretary of State.



Summary: A psychological profile of Mitt Romney, prospect for Secretary of State in the Trump administration, shows he is temperamentally fit for the position. Rudy Giuliani, though closer to President-elect Donald Trump, would be a riskier choice for Secretary of State.



Summary: The Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 (prior to Super Tuesday), is at variance with every conventional election-outcome forecasting model (on Election Day 2016). The Personal Electability Index projected in August 2015 that Donald Trump would win the Republican primary and go on to beat either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders in the 2016 presidential election. As polls opened on November 8, 2016, conventional election-outcome forecasting models predicted a comfortable Clinton victory in the Electoral College.



Summary: The Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics has released political-psychological assessments of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the Democratic and Republican candidates, respectively, in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.