Current Events and the Psychology of Politics
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Summary: Psychological assessments of U.S. presidents and presidential candidates, world leaders, and rogue or terrorist leaders conducted at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics.



Summary: Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., director of the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, projects Donald Trump will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election, employing the Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 before Super Tuesday.



Summary: The Presidential Electability Index (PEI) developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics predicted more than a year ahead of the 2016 presidential election that Donald Trump would win.



Summary: The Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 (prior to Super Tuesday), is at variance with every conventional election-outcome forecasting model (on Election Day 2016). The Personal Electability Index projected in August 2015 that Donald Trump would win the Republican primary and go on to beat either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders in the 2016 presidential election. As polls opened on November 8, 2016, conventional election-outcome forecasting models predicted a comfortable Clinton victory in the Electoral College.



Summary: Handicapping the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the 2016 U.S. presidential election cycle, employing the key presidential character traits identified by the American National Election Studies — competence, leadership, integrity, and empathy — and psychological profiles of Clinton and Trump, based on research conducted at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics.



Summary: Psychological advice on how Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump can exploit each other’s personality weaknesses to gain a winning edge in the presidential debates.



Summary: In the 2016 presidential campaign, Donald Trump’s narcissism is not the main issue; his narcissism score is identical to Hillary Clinton’s. The key difference between Trump and Clinton is their score on extraversion, elevated to near-histrionic levels in the case of Trump (and absent in Clinton), which accounts for Trump’s impulsiveness and lack of discipline in contrast to Clinton’s self-restraint, discipline, and prudence.



Summary: The Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics (USPP) “Media Tipsheet” offers political reporters looking for a fresh story angle a sometimes unique, often unconventional perspective on politics.



Summary: Announcing the launch of a new website (http://personality-politics.org/) on the psychology of politics, focusing on the role of leader personality in the realm of politics — including campaigns, elections, and executive leadership style.



Summary: Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., director of the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, projects Donald Trump will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election, employing the Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 before Super Tuesday.