Summary: The Presidential Electability Index (PEI) developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics indicates that Donald Trump would defeat Barack Obama in a hypothetical presidential election matchup.

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Summary: The Presidential Electability Index (PEI) developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics predicted more than a year ahead of the 2016 presidential election that Donald Trump would win.

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Summary: The Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 (prior to Super Tuesday), is at variance with every conventional election-outcome forecasting model (on Election Day 2016). The Personal Electability Index projected in August 2015 that Donald Trump would win the Republican primary and go on to beat either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders in the 2016 presidential election. As polls opened on November 8, 2016, conventional election-outcome forecasting models predicted a comfortable Clinton victory in the Electoral College.

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Summary: The Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics (USPP) “Media Tipsheet” offers political reporters looking for a fresh story angle a sometimes unique, often unconventional perspective on politics.

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Summary: Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., director of the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, projects Donald Trump will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election, employing the Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 before Super Tuesday.

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Summary: Research conducted at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics under the direction of Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., offers a political-psychological explanation for Donald Trump’s personal appeal as a candidate and Jeb Bush’s inability to consolidate his erstwhile front-runner status in the 2016 U.S. presidential election Republican primary. The Personal Electability Index has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996.

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Summary: A heuristic model developed at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics to predict the winner of the presidential election prior to Super Tuesday indicates that Democratic incumbent President Barack Obama will defeat Republican challenger Gov. Mitt Romney in the November 6, 2012 U.S. presidential election.

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Summary: A psychological analysis of former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum, conducted in spring 2012 by Beth Peichel, Amanda Nusbaum, Feiran Chen, Sara Duxbury, Wade Kohls, Rachel Heying, and Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics revealed that Santorum’s primary personality pattern is Conscientious/dutiful, with secondary features of the Dominant/controlling and Ambitious/confident patterns — a personality pattern very similar to that of likely Republican nominee in the 2012 U.S. presidential election, Mitt Romney.

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Summary: Politico reports that Barack Obama’s aides and advisers are preparing to center the president’s reelection campaign on a ferocious personal assault on Mitt Romney’s character and business background, a strategy grounded in the early-stage expectation that the former Massachusetts governor is the likely GOP nominee. However, the Obama campaign would be sorely misguided if it diverted inordinate resources to fending off Romney as Barack Obama’s likely opponent. Despite being the early front-runner in public opinion polls, Romney is unlikely to be the Republican presidential nominee, with the vastly underestimated Michele Bachmann potentially posing the greater reelection threat to Obama in terms of personal charisma. … One-year retrospective: One year ago today, on August 9, 2010, Aubrey Immelman appealed to Minnesota voters to support Independent Tom Horner for governor in the August 10, 2010 primary election.

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Summary: A psychological analysis of former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney, conducted in fall 2007 by Julie Seifert, Mick Lundstrum, and Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics revealed that Romney’s primary personality pattern is Conscientious/dutiful, with secondary features of the Dominant/asserting and Ambitious/confident patterns — a personality pattern that does not predict presidential electoral success. … One-year retrospective: One year ago today, on June 2, 2010, Aubrey Immelman reported that al-Qaida’s third in command, Mustafa al-Yazida (AKA Sheik Saeed al-Masri), had been killed in Pakistan’s border area with Afghanistan in one of the most severe blows to the terror movement since the U.S. campaign against al-Qaida began in 2001.

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