Current Events and the Psychology of Politics
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Summary: The Presidential Electability Index (PEI) developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics predicted more than a year ahead of the 2016 presidential election that Donald Trump would win.



Summary: The Republican primary in Indiana is a must-win for Ted Cruz if he is to have any prospect of preventing Donald Trump from reaching the 1,237 delegates required to secure the Republican nomination for president on the first ballot at the Republican National Convention. Who will win the Indiana primary election? The Personal Electability Index (PEI), developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics (USPP), projects that Donald Trump will beat Ted Cruz in the Indiana Republican primary. … Update: Sen. Ted Cruz had harsh words for rival Donald Trump on the day of the Indiana primary, calling him “a pathological liar … straight out of a psychology textbook,” “utterly amoral,” “a narcissist at a level I don’t think this country’s ever seen,” “an arrogant buffoon,” and “a serial philanderer … [who] describes his own battles with venereal diseases as his own personal Vietnam.”



Summary: Compilation of a veritable conga-line of high-profile Republican establishment figures jumping on the Ted Cruz bandwagon — Texas governor and failed GOP presidential contender Rick Perry; unsuccessful Republican presidential candidate and businesswoman Carly Fiorina; unsuccessful contender for the Republican presidential nomination, South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham; former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, 2012 Republican nominee defeated by Barack Obama; failed Republican presidential hopeful and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush; and, prospectively, Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker, the first GOP contender in the unprecedentedly large Republican field to drop out of the race for the 2016 Republican nomination.



MSNBC “Morning Joe” is the only major television talk show to have predicted Donald Trump’s viability as a presidential candidate from the outset. This video compilation provides a retrospective of hosts Joe Scarborough, Mika Brzezinski, and Willie Geist’s commentary on “Morning Joe,” starting with Trump’s announcement of his bid for the Republican nomination on June 16, 2015.



Summary: Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., director of the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, projects Donald Trump will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election, employing the Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 before Super Tuesday.



Summary: A psychological analysis of Texas senator Ted Cruz — a contender for the Republican nomination in the 2016 presidential election — by Atarah Pinder and Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, revealed that Cruz’s primary personality pattern is Dominant / forceful, with secondary Ambitious / confident and Dauntless / Adventurous features and less prominent Outgoing / congenial and Contentious / resolute tendencies. In summary, Cruz’s personality composite can be characterized as a “risk-taking, confident controller.”



Summary: A psychological analysis (conducted summer 2015) of retired pediatric neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson — a contender for the Republican nomination in the 2016 presidential election — by Hannah Hoppe and Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, revealed that Carson’s most prominent personality patterns are Dominant/assertive, Ambitious/confident, and Conscientious/respectful. In summary, Carson’s personality composite can be characterized as a “confident, deliberative organizer.”



Summary: Psychological evaluation and comparison of the 10 GOP presidential contenders in the August 6, 2015 Fox News Republican candidate debate in Cleveland, Ohio.