Summary: The atypical political environment in which the 2020 U.S. presidential election is being conducted (e.g., global pandemic, mail-in ballots) violates the assumptions of the Personal Electability Index (PEI), meaning that it cannot reliably project the winner of the presidential election.

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Summary: Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., director of the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, projects Donald Trump will win the 2020 U.S. presidential election, employing the Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 before Super Tuesday.

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Summary: The Presidential Electability Index (PEI) developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics indicates that Donald Trump would defeat Barack Obama in a hypothetical presidential election matchup.

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Summary: The Presidential Electability Index (PEI) developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics predicted more than a year ahead of the 2016 presidential election that Donald Trump would win.

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Summary: The Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 (prior to Super Tuesday), is at variance with every conventional election-outcome forecasting model (on Election Day 2016). The Personal Electability Index projected in August 2015 that Donald Trump would win the Republican primary and go on to beat either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders in the 2016 presidential election. As polls opened on November 8, 2016, conventional election-outcome forecasting models predicted a comfortable Clinton victory in the Electoral College.

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Summary: The Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics (USPP) “Media Tipsheet” offers political reporters looking for a fresh story angle a sometimes unique, often unconventional perspective on politics.

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MSNBC “Morning Joe” is the only major television talk show to have predicted Donald Trump’s viability as a presidential candidate from the outset. This video compilation provides a retrospective of hosts Joe Scarborough, Mika Brzezinski, and Willie Geist’s commentary on “Morning Joe,” starting with Trump’s announcement of his bid for the Republican nomination on June 16, 2015.

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Summary: Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., director of the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics, projects Donald Trump will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election, employing the Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 before Super Tuesday.

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Summary: Research conducted at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics under the direction of Aubrey Immelman, Ph.D., offers a political-psychological explanation for Donald Trump’s personal appeal as a candidate and Jeb Bush’s inability to consolidate his erstwhile front-runner status in the 2016 U.S. presidential election Republican primary. The Personal Electability Index has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996.

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Summary: A heuristic model developed at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics to predict the winner of the presidential election prior to Super Tuesday indicates that Democratic incumbent President Barack Obama will defeat Republican challenger Gov. Mitt Romney in the November 6, 2012 U.S. presidential election.

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