Current Events and the Psychology of Politics

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Archive for the 'Donald Trump' Category

Summary: The Presidential Electability Index (PEI) developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics predicted more than a year ahead of the 2016 presidential election that Donald Trump would win.

Summary: Psychological analysis of Donald Trump’s temperament sheds light on his fitness for office as president. The two personality traits of greatest concern are impulsiveness and responding aggressively to personal slights.

Summary: The Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 (prior to Super Tuesday), is at variance with every conventional election-outcome forecasting model (on Election Day 2016). The Personal Electability Index projected in August 2015 that Donald Trump would win the Republican primary and go on to beat either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders in the 2016 presidential election. As polls opened on November 8, 2016, conventional election-outcome forecasting models predicted a comfortable Clinton victory in the Electoral College.

Summary: The Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics has released political-psychological assessments of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the Democratic and Republican candidates, respectively, in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

Summary: In response to the “Access Hollywood” sex video firestorm, Donald Trump — consistent with his personality profile, which is nearly identical to Bill Clinton’s — has vowed not to drop out of the presidential race under any circumstances.

Summary: Donald Trump’s temperament has emerged as a major campaign issue in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Analysis of Trump’s temperament sheds light on his fitness for office as president.

Summary: Handicapping the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the 2016 U.S. presidential election cycle, employing the key presidential character traits identified by the American National Election Studies — competence, leadership, integrity, and empathy — and psychological profiles of Clinton and Trump, based on research conducted at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics.

Summary: Psychological advice on how Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump can exploit each other’s personality weaknesses to gain a winning edge in the presidential debates.

Summary: In the 2016 presidential campaign, Donald Trump’s narcissism is not the main issue; his narcissism score is identical to Hillary Clinton’s. The key difference between Trump and Clinton is their score on extraversion, elevated to near-histrionic levels in the case of Trump (and absent in Clinton), which accounts for Trump’s impulsiveness and lack of discipline in contrast to Clinton’s self-restraint, discipline, and prudence.

MSNBC “Morning Joe” is the only major television talk show to have predicted Donald Trump’s viability as a presidential candidate from the outset. This video compilation provides a retrospective of hosts Joe Scarborough, Mika Brzezinski, and Willie Geist’s commentary on “Morning Joe,” starting with Trump’s announcement of his bid for the Republican nomination on June 16, 2015.