Current Events and the Psychology of Politics

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Summary: Psychological analysis of former New York City mayor Rudy Giuliani reveals that his primary personality pattern is Dominant/aggressive, with secondary features of the Conscientious/dutiful and Ambitious/confident patterns. The combination of highly dominant and conscientious patterns in Giuliani’s profile suggests an “aggressive enforcer” personality composite.

Summary: The Personal Electability Index (PEI), which has accurately predicted the outcome of every presidential election since 1996 (prior to Super Tuesday), is at variance with every conventional election-outcome forecasting model (on Election Day 2016). The Personal Electability Index projected in August 2015 that Donald Trump would win the Republican primary and go on to beat either Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders in the 2016 presidential election. As polls opened on November 8, 2016, conventional election-outcome forecasting models predicted a comfortable Clinton victory in the Electoral College.

Summary: The Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics has released political-psychological assessments of Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the Democratic and Republican candidates, respectively, in the 2016 U.S. presidential election.

Summary: In response to the “Access Hollywood” sex video firestorm, Donald Trump — consistent with his personality profile, which is nearly identical to Bill Clinton’s — has vowed not to drop out of the presidential race under any circumstances.

Summary: Donald Trump’s temperament has emerged as a major campaign issue in the 2016 U.S. presidential election. Analysis of Trump’s temperament sheds light on his fitness for office as president.

Summary: Handicapping the first debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump in the 2016 U.S. presidential election cycle, employing the key presidential character traits identified by the American National Election Studies — competence, leadership, integrity, and empathy — and psychological profiles of Clinton and Trump, based on research conducted at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics.

Summary: Psychological advice on how Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump can exploit each other’s personality weaknesses to gain a winning edge in the presidential debates.

Summary: In the 2016 presidential campaign, Donald Trump’s narcissism is not the main issue; his narcissism score is identical to Hillary Clinton’s. The key difference between Trump and Clinton is their score on extraversion, elevated to near-histrionic levels in the case of Trump (and absent in Clinton), which accounts for Trump’s impulsiveness and lack of discipline in contrast to Clinton’s self-restraint, discipline, and prudence.

Summary: The Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics (USPP) “Media Tipsheet” offers political reporters looking for a fresh story angle a sometimes unique, often unconventional perspective on politics.

Summary: The Republican primary in Indiana is a must-win for Ted Cruz if he is to have any prospect of preventing Donald Trump from reaching the 1,237 delegates required to secure the Republican nomination for president on the first ballot at the Republican National Convention. Who will win the Indiana primary election? The Personal Electability Index (PEI), developed by Aubrey Immelman at the Unit for the Study of Personality in Politics (USPP), projects that Donald Trump will beat Ted Cruz in the Indiana Republican primary. … Update: Sen. Ted Cruz had harsh words for rival Donald Trump on the day of the Indiana primary, calling him “a pathological liar … straight out of a psychology textbook,” “utterly amoral,” “a narcissist at a level I don’t think this country’s ever seen,” “an arrogant buffoon,” and “a serial philanderer … [who] describes his own battles with venereal diseases as his own personal Vietnam.”